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AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille — Prediction & Live Score · Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Sun, Aug 30, 06:45 PM

PredictIQ's model sees this as a genuine toss-up, with a draw the single most likely outcome at 38%. Expected goals sit at 1.5–1.3, pointing to a high-scoring affair. The standout value angle is BTTS Yes, priced at fair odds of 1.74 against a model probability of 58%. The most likely final scoreline is 1-1 (13%).

Model Breakdown

predictiq_stack_v7
HOME 31%
DRAW 38%
AWAY 32%
BEST VALUE: BTTS Yes @ 1.74
Model fair probability: 58%
Expected Goals (xG)1.51.3
Likely score1-1 13% · 2-1 9% · 1-0 8%

Secondary Markets

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
Both Teams to Score (Yes)
58%
Not yet collected for this fixture.

Market Movement

1X2
Consensus direction
No clear move
Strength · Confidence
0 · 0.00
stable
Home
0%
0/2 moving
Draw
0%
0/2 moving
Away
0%
0/2 moving
Market-implied probability (vig removed)
Home
38.3%39.0%
+0.7%
Draw
25.3%26.1%
+0.7%
Away
36.3%34.9%
-1.4%

Derived from bookmaker price movement only, never actual betting volume. 19 bookmakers reporting.

Odds Movement

How the line has shifted from opening odds to now, per bookmaker.

View markets →

Lineups

confirmed