AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille — Prediction & Live Score · Ligue 1
PredictIQ's model sees this as a genuine toss-up, with a draw the single most likely outcome at 38%. Expected goals sit at 1.5–1.3, pointing to a high-scoring affair. The standout value angle is BTTS Yes, priced at fair odds of 1.74 against a model probability of 58%. The most likely final scoreline is 1-1 (13%).
Model Breakdown
HOME 31%
DRAW 38%
AWAY 32%
BEST VALUE: BTTS Yes @ 1.74
Model fair probability: 58%
Expected Goals (xG)1.5 – 1.3
Likely score1-1 13% · 2-1 9% · 1-0 8%
Secondary Markets
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
Both Teams to Score (Yes)
58%
Not yet collected for this fixture.
Market Movement
Consensus direction
No clear move
Strength · Confidence
0 · 0.00
stable
Home
0%
0/2 moving
Draw
0%
0/2 moving
Away
0%
0/2 moving
Market-implied probability (vig removed)
Home
38.3%→39.0%
+0.7%
Draw
25.3%→26.1%
+0.7%
Away
36.3%→34.9%
-1.4%
Derived from bookmaker price movement only, never actual betting volume. 19 bookmakers reporting.
Odds Movement
View markets →How the line has shifted from opening odds to now, per bookmaker.

