Aston Villa vs Arsenal — Prediction & Live Score · Premier League
Premier League · Mon, Aug 31, 07:00 PM
PredictIQ's model gives Arsenal a moderate edge, projecting a 46% chance of victory. Expected goals sit at 1.5–1.5, pointing to a high-scoring affair. The standout value angle is BTTS Yes, priced at fair odds of 1.62 against a model probability of 62%. The most likely final scoreline is 1-1 (12%).
Model Breakdown
HOME 27%
DRAW 27%
AWAY 46%
BEST VALUE: BTTS Yes @ 1.62
Model fair probability: 62%
Expected Goals (xG)1.5 – 1.5
Likely score1-1 12% · 2-1 8% · 1-2 8%
Secondary Markets
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
Both Teams to Score (Yes)
62%
Not yet collected for this fixture.
Market Movement
Consensus direction
No clear move
Strength · Confidence
0 · 0.00
stableBookmakers disagree
Home
0%
0/16 moving
Draw
0%
0/16 moving
Away
0%
0/16 moving
Market-implied probability (vig removed)
Home
15.2%→15.2%
0.0%
Draw
22.3%→22.3%
0.0%
Away
62.5%→62.5%
0.0%
Derived from bookmaker price movement only, never actual betting volume. 16 bookmakers reporting.
Odds Movement
View markets →How the line has shifted from opening odds to now, per bookmaker.
Lineups
Lineups aren't confirmed yet — usually available closer to kickoff.